GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 8/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hammarby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Malmö FF W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hammarby are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Damallsvenskan, while Hammarby holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hammarby

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

13.1%

Hammarby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmö FF WLWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HammarbyLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Malmö FF WHammarby
74.4Attack76.9
65.4Defence79.5
73.1Form75.6
70.5Power75.3
1.33xG1.49
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