GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malmö FF W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Malmö FF W 1-0 Eskilstuna United W, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Malmö FF W 1-0 Eskilstuna United W

Original prediction

Malmö FF W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3567.0%66.1%-0.9 pts
Draw4.5919.7%21.9%2.1 pts
Away6.8213.3%12.1%-1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.9 pts

Projected Score

Malmö FF W 1–0 Eskilstuna United W

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Malmö FF W

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Malmö FF WDWWDW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Eskilstuna United WDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Malmö FF WEskilstuna United W
66.7Attack35.3
78.4Defence64.7
58.8Form52.9
65.4Power51.2
1.58xG0.52
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