Malmö FF Wvs
Djurgården W
COMPLETEDSweden · Damallsvenskan · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmö FF W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Malmö FF W 2-0 Djurgården W, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Malmö FF W 3-0 Djurgården W
Original prediction
Malmö FF W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.3% | 76.5% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.0% | 15.4% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 6.59 | 13.7% | 8.1% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Projected Score
Malmö FF W 2–0 Djurgården W
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Malmö FF W
Probability
76.5%
Model confidence
76.5%
Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Malmö FF WWDWWD
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Djurgården WLLWDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Malmö FF WDjurgården W
64.8Attack38.9
79.6Defence46.3
61.1Form33.3
66.2Power39.6
2.43xG0.55