Malmö FF Wvs
AIK W
COMPLETEDSweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmö FF W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malmö FF W 3-2 AIK W
Original prediction
Malmö FF W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.1% | 66.1% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 20.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.02 | 18.0% | 13.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Malmö FF W
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60