Mallorcavs
Las Palmas
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mallorca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas
Original prediction
Mallorca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 62.1% | 47.8% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 22.5% | 28.0% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 6.04 | 15.4% | 24.2% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Projected Score
Mallorca 1–0 Las Palmas
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Mallorca
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Mallorca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MallorcaDLWWD
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Las PalmasDLLWD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MallorcaLas Palmas
33.3Attack50.0
87.5Defence45.8
58.3Form45.8
60.4Power49.4
1.25xG0.77