Mallorcavs
AD Ceuta FC
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mallorca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mallorca 3-0 AD Ceuta FC
Original prediction
Mallorca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.9% | 47.5% | -18.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 20.6% | 26.8% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 6.94 | 13.4% | 25.7% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Mallorca
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Mallorca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20