Mallorca IIvs
Orihuela
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mallorca II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mallorca II 0-2 Orihuela
Original prediction
Mallorca II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.5% | 45.2% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 28.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.1% | 26.7% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Mallorca II
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Mallorca II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40