Mallorca IIvs
Elche II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mallorca II 0-0 Elche II, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mallorca II 4-0 Elche II
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.7% | 36.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 30.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.9% | 32.9% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Mallorca II 0–0 Elche II
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mallorca IILDLLW
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Elche IIWLLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mallorca IIElche II
19.0Attack38.9
61.9Defence50.0
28.6Form38.9
39.6Power43.5
0.94xG0.93