Mallorca IIvs
Alcoyano
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mallorca II 0-0 Alcoyano, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mallorca II 0-1 Alcoyano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.0% | 28.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.2% | 32.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.8% | 38.5% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Mallorca II 0–0 Alcoyano
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.9%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mallorca IILWDDL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlcoyanoWWLDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mallorca IIAlcoyano
0.0Attack29.4
33.3Defence80.4
0.0Form53.9
15.3Power56.8
0.61xG0.86