Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Malisheva 3-0 Vushtrria, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Malisheva 2-1 Vushtrria
Original prediction
Malisheva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 79.7% | 87.8% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.11 | 14.5% | 8.6% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 15.44 | 5.8% | 3.6% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Projected Score
Malisheva 3–0 Vushtrria
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
87.8%
Model confidence
87.8%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MalishevaDWWWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VushtrriaLWLLL
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MalishevaVushtrria
77.8Attack14.8
74.1Defence22.2
74.1Form11.1
73.5Power20.2
3.75xG0.35