Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malisheva 1-1 Prishtina
Original prediction
Malisheva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.7% | 42.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.5% | 30.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MalishevaWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PrishtinaDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MalishevaPrishtina
83.3Attack85.7
75.0Defence81.0
79.2Form90.5
77.0Power85.2
1.32xG1.06