Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mali W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mali W 6-2 Benin W
Original prediction
Mali W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 16:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Mali W
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Mali W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mali WDWLLD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Benin WLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mali WBenin W
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.34xG1.99