Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mali · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Mali
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Mali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaliDWWLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RwandaDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MaliRwanda
66.7Attack83.3
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
86.5Power86.5
1.34xG1.13