Mali U20vs
Guinea U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 10/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mali U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mali U20 0-1 Guinea U20
Original prediction
Mali U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.5% | 42.1% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 28.9% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.6% | 29.0% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Mali U20
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Mali U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00