Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malženice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malženice 3-1 MFK Bytča
Original prediction
Malženice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.7% | 57.7% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.4% | 22.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 7.01 | 13.0% | 20.2% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Malženice
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Malženice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MalženiceLLLDW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MFK BytčaWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MalženiceMFK Bytča
46.7Attack20.0
40.0Defence0.0
26.7Form20.0
39.6Power18.9
2.07xG1.07