Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Malženice

Malženice

Home
LD
11
Full time
Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş

Away
DLD
X-Bionic Sphere
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Beşiktaş33%
Malženice33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Malženice
33%
Draw
33%
Beşiktaş
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Malženice
18
Beşiktaş
34
Defence
Malženice
46
Beşiktaş
53
Momentum
Malženice
17
Beşiktaş
22
Danger (xG)
Malženice
0.45
Beşiktaş
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.65 xG for Malženice and 1.09 xG for Beşiktaş — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Beşiktaş holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.75 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Malženice's Defensive Stability (46) and Beşiktaş's (53) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Malženice)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Beşiktaş)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Malženice)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Beşiktaş)
1.20
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MalženiceMalženice
LDW
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
LDDD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Malženice33%
Draw33%
Beşiktaş33%

Beşiktaş leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Malženice Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Malženice host Beşiktaş in Friendlies Clubs. Malženice have recorded WWDLLL in recent matches while Beşiktaş arrive with a run of WDLDLW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.65 for Malženice and 1.09 for Beşiktaş. The gap of 0.56 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Malženice 0Draws 10 Beşiktaş
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Malženice
D11
Beşiktaş

Recent form

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Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Malženice vs Beşiktaş?

GoalVio's model predicts Malženice to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Malženice vs Beşiktaş?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Malženice vs Beşiktaş?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Malženice vs Beşiktaş?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more