Maldon & Tiptreevs
Dulwich Hamlet
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dulwich Hamlet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-4 (9%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maldon & Tiptree 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Original prediction
Dulwich Hamlet
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 15.7% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 15.7% | -9.0 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.7% | 68.5% | 24.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
24.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–49%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
Dulwich Hamlet
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Dulwich Hamlet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20