Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malaysia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malaysia 1-0 Vietnam
Original prediction
Malaysia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.9% | 45.4% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 25.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.8% | 29.2% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Malaysia
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Malaysia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MalaysiaWDWLL
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
VietnamWLWDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MalaysiaVietnam
100.0Attack55.6
100.0Defence55.6
100.0Form66.7
97.0Power61.0
2.23xG1.34