Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malaysia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Malaysia are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Singapore are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Malaysia hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the ASEAN Championship, while Malaysia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malaysia
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Malaysia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 2.33/1.67