MalaysiavsPhilippines

Malaysia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Philippines are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Philippines hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the ASEAN Championship, while Malaysia holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.