Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malaysia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malaysia 0-0 Indonesia
Original prediction
Malaysia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.6% | 44.6% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.6% | 26.9% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 5.09 | 17.8% | 28.5% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Malaysia
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Malaysia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MalaysiaWLLWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
IndonesiaWDLWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MalaysiaIndonesia
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power88.7
1.40xG1.13