Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malawi W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malawi W 1-2 Zambia W
Original prediction
Malawi W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Malawi W
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Malawi W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Malawi WWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50
BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Zambia WLWLWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Malawi WZambia W
80.0Attack50.0
53.3Defence25.0
80.0Form58.3
73.1Power47.1
2.57xG1.18