Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levante · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malaga 0-0 Levante
Original prediction
Levante
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 39.4% | 32.3% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 29.1% | 27.1% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 31.5% | 40.7% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Levante
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Levante has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MalagaLDLDL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LevanteWDLWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MalagaLevante
11.1Attack55.6
22.2Defence44.4
11.1Form44.4
19.5Power47.9
1.22xG1.69