Segunda División
Malaga
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Almeria
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Malaga leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Malaga head into this in Segunda División fixture at Estadio La Rosaleda in mixed form (DWD), while Almeria arrive in mixed form (DLW). Malaga have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 33% for Almeria over 3 games.
The model rates Malaga's attack at 34/100 against a 53/100 Almeria defence, and Almeria's attack at 47/100 against a 77/100 Malaga backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Malaga have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Almeria have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.
Malaga have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match. Almeria have generated 0.81 xG per game recently while conceding 0.57 xG per match.
Malaga have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Malaga to win with 56% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Malaga 5590%, Draw 2250%, Almeria 2160%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Malaga
Almeria
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Malaga vs Almeria?
GoalVio's model predicts Malaga to win with 56% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Almeria?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Malaga vs Almeria?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Malaga vs Almeria?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.