Malacatecovs
Mixco
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malacateco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malacateco 1-0 Mixco
Original prediction
Malacateco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.6% | 48.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.2% | 27.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.2% | 24.3% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Malacateco
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Malacateco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80