Malacatecovs
Comunicaciones
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malacateco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malacateco 1-0 Comunicaciones
Original prediction
Malacateco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.5% | 37.9% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.1% | 27.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.4% | 35.0% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Malacateco
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Malacateco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60