GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/13/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malacateco · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Malacateco are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Coatepecano IB are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Malacateco hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the Liga Nacional, while Malacateco holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malacateco

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

57.8%

Malacateco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MalacatecoWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Coatepecano IBD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
MalacatecoCoatepecano IB
46.3Attack26.0
43.5Defence42.7
47.2Form22.9
47.3Power32.9
1.78xG0.77
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