Malacatecovs
Antigua GFC
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malacateco · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Malacateco 0-2 Antigua GFC
Original prediction
Malacateco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.0% | 37.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.1% | 28.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.9% | 33.4% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Malacateco
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Malacateco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40