Makhachkalavs
Lokomotiv
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Makhachkala · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Makhachkala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Makhachkala hold a 41.3-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Premier League, while Makhachkala holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Makhachkala
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Makhachkala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80