GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arkadag · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Makhachkala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Arkadag are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arkadag

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

13.1%

Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MakhachkalaWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ArkadagWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MakhachkalaArkadag
28.6Attack33.3
47.6Defence66.7
19.0Form33.3
34.9Power45.3
1.19xG1.56
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