GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/23/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shkupi 1927 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Makedonija GjP are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shkupi 1927 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkupi 1927 hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the First League, while Shkupi 1927 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shkupi 1927

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Shkupi 1927 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Makedonija GjPLWLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shkupi 1927DWLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Makedonija GjPShkupi 1927
29.3Attack42.4
55.6Defence76.8
29.3Form62.6
40.2Power62.2
0.45xG1.11
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