Makedonija GjPvs
Pelister
COMPLETEDMacedonia · Second League · 8/29/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pelister · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Makedonija GjP 0-1 Pelister
Original prediction
Pelister
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.92 | 18.5% | 35.4% | 16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 27.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.7% | 36.7% | -20.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Pelister
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Pelister has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60