GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/13/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bregalnica Štip · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Makedonija GjP are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Bregalnica Štip are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bregalnica Štip hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the First League, while Bregalnica Štip holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bregalnica Štip

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Bregalnica Štip has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Makedonija GjPLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Bregalnica ŠtipWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Makedonija GjPBregalnica Štip
29.3Attack66.7
55.6Defence66.7
29.3Form50.0
40.2Power57.3
0.79xG1.30
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