NB III - SouthwestNB III - Southwest
Sunday, 26 July 202616:30Last updated 15:02
Majosi

Majosi

Home
L
22
Full time
Paksi SE II

Paksi SE II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Majosi(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Majosi
40%
Draw
27%
Paksi SE II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Majosi
34
Paksi SE II
94
Defence
Majosi
6
Paksi SE II
66
Momentum
Majosi
0
Paksi SE II
100
Danger (xG)
Majosi
0.90
Paksi SE II
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 3.39 xG for Majosi and 1.77 xG for Paksi SE II — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 3-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Majosi holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 5.15 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Majosi's Attack Score (34) vs Paksi SE II's Defensive Stability (66) and Paksi SE II's attack (94) vs Majosi's defence (6) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Majosi)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Paksi SE II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Majosi)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Paksi SE II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MajosiMajosi
L
Paksi SE IIPaksi SE II
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Majosi40%
Draw27%
Paksi SE II33%

Majosi leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Majosi Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Majosi host Paksi SE II in NB III - Southwest. Majosi have recorded WWLDLD in recent matches while Paksi SE II arrive with a run of LLWWLD.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 3.39 expected goals for Majosi against 1.77 for Paksi SE II — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Majosi's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 53% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Majosi have averaged 2.30 goals per game recently while Paksi SE II have managed 1.69. Majosi carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its Majosi win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Majosi are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.39 projected against 1.77 for Paksi SE II. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.62 is the clearest signal in the model that Majosi are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Majosi's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Paksi SE II defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Majosi fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Majosi have been conceding 2.10 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Majosi 0Draws 01 Paksi SE II
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
17 May 2026
Majosi
L13
Paksi SE II

Recent form

Majosi

Majosi

L
@ Paksi SE II
17 May 2026
13
Paksi SE II

Paksi SE II

W
vs Majosi
17 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Majosi vs Paksi SE II?

GoalVio's model predicts Majosi to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Majosi vs Paksi SE II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Majosi vs Paksi SE II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Majosi vs Paksi SE II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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