Maitlandvs
Weston Bears
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/1/2023, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maitland are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 3.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Weston Bears are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 3.67/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.75/1.25