GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 2/28/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Maitland are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

7.6%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandDLDLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Weston BearsWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MaitlandWeston Bears
60.3Attack76.2
50.8Defence47.6
61.9Form63.5
60.0Power62.4
2.07xG2.12
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