GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/14/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Weston Bears are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWWWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MaitlandWeston Bears
60.3Attack76.2
50.8Defence47.6
61.9Form63.5
60.0Power62.4
2.07xG2.12
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