Maitlandvs
Weston Bears
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/19/2023, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maitland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Weston Bears are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00