Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Maitland are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Valentine are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 5.00/1.50
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67