Maitlandvs
New Lambton
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/27/2023, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Maitland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
83.0%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80