Maitlandvs
New Lambton
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/9/2025, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Maitland are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while New Lambton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
83.0%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40
GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00