GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/3/2024, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Maitland are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while New Lambton are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

83.0%

Model confidence

83.0%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandLLWLW

GF 13 · GA 15 · avg 2.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New LambtonLLWLW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandNew Lambton
60.3Attack37.9
50.8Defence7.6
61.9Form18.2
60.0Power23.6
3.88xG0.94
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