Maitlandvs
Lambton Jaffas
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/20/2023, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maitland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80