GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/10/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MaitlandLambton Jaffas
60.3Attack57.1
50.8Defence47.6
61.9Form34.9
60.0Power46.2
2.19xG1.51
View match centre →