Maitlandvs
Lambton Jaffas
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/30/2024, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Maitland are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20