GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/9/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Maitland are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

87.0%

Model confidence

87.0%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieLLLWL

GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MaitlandLake Macquarie
60.3Attack30.3
50.8Defence0.0
61.9Form6.1
60.0Power14.9
3.97xG0.74
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