Maitlandvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/9/2023, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Maitland are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
87.0%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20