Maitlandvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/13/2024, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Maitland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
87.0%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40