GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/13/2024, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Maitland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

87.0%

Model confidence

87.0%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandDWWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MaitlandLake Macquarie
60.3Attack30.3
50.8Defence0.0
61.9Form6.1
60.0Power14.9
3.97xG0.74
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