Maitlandvs
Hamilton Olympic
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/5/2023, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Maitland are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60