GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/15/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Maitland are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MaitlandLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamilton OlympicLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandHamilton Olympic
60.3Attack61.9
50.8Defence39.7
61.9Form33.3
60.0Power44.3
2.53xG1.62
View match centre →