Australia CupAustralia Cup
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Maitland

Maitland

Home
L
12
Full time
Fremantle City

Fremantle City

Away
D
Cooks Square Park
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Maitland(33%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Maitland
33%
Draw
24%
Fremantle City
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Maitland
34
Fremantle City
34
Defence
Maitland
6
Fremantle City
66
Momentum
Maitland
0
Fremantle City
33
Danger (xG)
Maitland
0.90
Fremantle City
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Maitland)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Fremantle City)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Maitland)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Fremantle City)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MaitlandMaitland
L
Fremantle CityFremantle City
DD

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Maitland33%
Draw24%
Fremantle City44%

Fremantle City leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Maitland head into this in Australia Cup fixture at Cooks Square Park in mixed form (L), while Fremantle City arrive in mixed form (D). Maitland have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Fremantle City over 1 games.

Tactically, Fremantle City hold the edge. Their modest attack (34/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Maitland defence (6/100), while Maitland's attack faces a solid Fremantle City backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Maitland have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Fremantle City have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Maitland and Fremantle City in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Maitland to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Maitland 3267%, Draw 2380%, Fremantle City 4353%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Maitland

Maitland

L
vs Cooks Hill United
15 May 2026
13
Fremantle City

Fremantle City

D
vs Bayswater City
4 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Olympic Kingsway
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Maitland vs Fremantle City?

GoalVio's model predicts Maitland to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Maitland vs Fremantle City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Maitland vs Fremantle City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Maitland vs Fremantle City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more